Home World Israel Can Win the War, But At What Cost?

Israel Can Win the War, But At What Cost?

Israel can win the war in Gaza, but at what cost? Despite widespread criticism and international scrutiny, Israel's strategy aims to dismantle Hamas, but at too high a price.

By Srijan Sharma
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Israel Can Win the War, But At What Cost? | Photo courtesy: @IDF | X

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Israel Can Win, But at Too High a Price

As we approach the one-year mark in two months since the October 7 attacks on Israel, the aftermath continues to resonate through the region. Following the Hamas assault, Israel launched Operation Iron Swords, aiming to dismantle Hamas in Gaza. Over the past year, Israel's campaign has expanded, targeting multiple locations across the Middle East. Despite the significant scrutiny from analysts and observers questioning Israel's strategic longevity in this conflict, a deeper analysis reveals a complex reality. Yes, Israel can win this war, but at what cost?

Israel's engagement with Gaza initially focused on weakening and dismantling Hamas's rocket capabilities. In 2014, Operation Protective Edge aimed to neutralise tunnels and missile threats. While it was partially successful, Hamas soon rebounded. This time, Operation Iron Swords represents a more aggressive approach, aiming for a substantial dismantling of Hamas. This shift in operational character marks a significant change in Israel's military strategy, highlighting a move from limited offensives to a full-scale attempt to eradicate Hamas from Gaza.

Mounting Criticism

Criticism has been widespread. Analysts and top Israeli officials have questioned Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's strategy. Media outlets, including the Wall Street Journal, have speculated on Israel's potential to lose this war. Analysts like Jon B. Alterman highlight two main concerns: Hamas's survivability and tactics, and Israel's regional pressures and future plans for Gaza. Critics argue that Israel cannot completely eradicate Hamas, as the group's ideology persists, posing a risk of endless conflict.

The criticism points to historical parallels, such as the U.S. experience in Vietnam, suggesting that Israel might similarly find itself mired in a protracted and costly conflict. Additionally, international legal judgments and global criticism have put pressure on Israel's credibility and its alliances. The criticism is well-founded, considering the historical context of protracted conflicts and the challenges of completely eradicating deeply entrenched ideologies.

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